Outdoors you should be able to achieve the following repetability so long as average wind speed is less than 25% of cycling road speed. If wind speed is above 50% we do not recommend aero testing.
Out-back testing
+/-1.5%
Outdoor velodrome with aerodrome
+/-1.0%
Indoor velodrome with aerodrome
+/-0.5%
For good repeatability careful setup is essential. In particular:
Ensure power meter is calibrated before each run.
Make sure total mass is correct for every run.
Carefully measure the loaded circumference of the wheels (seated roll-out).